Senate poll: Coakley up 15 points
Democrat Martha Coakley, buoyed by her durable statewide popularity, enjoys a solid, 15-percentage-point lead over Republican rival Scott Brown as the race for US Senate enters the homestretch, according to a new Boston Globe poll of likely voters.That's the Boston Globe right there. Then there's this:
Half of voters surveyed said they would pick Coakley, the attorney general, if the election were held today, compared with 35 percent who would pick Brown. Nine percent were undecided, and a third candidate in the race, independent Joseph L. Kennedy, received 5 percent.
New Poll Has Coakley, Brown in Dead Heat for Senate Seat
Conflicting polls show very different outcomes in the race to replace Ted Kennedy in the U.S. Senate.
According to Public Policy Polling group, the race is looking like a toss up, with Republican Scott Brown up 48-47 percent on Martha Coakley.
Brown is benefiting from depressed Democratic interest in the election and a huge lead among independents for his surprisingly strong standing, the poll takers conclude.
And that's Fox News.
Fascinating, is it not, that both sources are considered biased by those on the other side of the ideological fence and have such wildly disparate results. The Globe uses terms like "statewide popularity" without offering anything to back it up; Fox News only mentions the third party candidate Joe Kennedy in the last line of the story - without noting that the poll putting Brown ahead of Coakley doesn't include him.
We can only hope that the Globe poll being taken from Jan. 2-6 vs. the PPP poll being taken from Jan. 7-9 means something...
That is all.
7 comments:
If the people who make up the "Why should I bother?" voting block start to see that their vote might actually be of consequence, for a change, they will get up and vote. It's not too often that conservatives and Republicans in Massachusetts get inspired to vote in a statewide or federal election.
If the Globe can keep these people on the couch by convincing them that, once again, their vote will be an exercise in futility, their candidate will win.
I thought the problem was that all non-liberals fled Taxachussets long ago. I did.
If'n you're calling me a liberal, them's fightin' words...
We can only hope the Dems believe the Globe that she is all set and don't show up to vote on election day. . . . that would help Brown alot!
this is interesting. . .
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/political_commentary/commentary_by_scott_rasmussen/looking_closer_at_the_massachusetts_senate_polls
http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2010/01/battle-of-massachusetts-polls.html
Nate at 538 has trouble explaining the polls.
+1 to JD, and actually might not be far off. A special election (The Senate seat will be the only game in town, no referendums, no other seats, no tax or local codes) and come Jan 19th it'll likely be a VERY COLD, VERY Bleak day.
Many might not even know there's an election going on.
One would need some fire in their belly to trek to a polling place on such a day.
Maybe my pundit skills are off, but I suspect these factors ALL benefit Brown.
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